Thursday, May 30, 2013

Tuesday: 5/28/13

Politics


The Economy


Worst socialist ever.  "In the 84 years that the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index has been calculated, it doubled during the terms of only four presidents before Barack Obama’s election in 2008. This month that number rose to five ... The S&P 500 is up 105% since the President took office ... With socialists like that, who needs capitalists?"  Jared Bernstein at On the Economy.

What about austerity?  "Whatever happened to the austerity economy? ... On the positive side of the ledger ... housing was finally gaining momentum after a six-year slump and consumers had made major progress toward righting their household finances, enabling them to ramp up consumption. On the negative side, federal fiscal policy seemed to be fighting it tooth and nail, with tax increases and spending cuts that threatened to suck the wind out of any nascent economic boom.  So far, the positives seem to be winning."  Neil Irwin at Wonkblog.

Congress is destructive.  But the economy is still net positive. "A U.S. economy that was supposed to be barely hanging on is starting to look surprisingly robust.  Housing prices rose faster over the past year than they have in the past seven ... Consumer confidence hit its highest level in five years. The stock market rallied ... leaving it just short of an all-time high reached last week. And the national retail price of gasoline fell for six days straight ... It adds up to this reality: In a year when tax increases and spending cuts by the federal government were expected to bleed life out of the economy, the strengthening housing and financial markets are proving to be more powerful than acts of Congress."  Neil Irwin and Ylan Mui at Wonkblog.


Elections


The popular governors.  "The Republicans also have a group of popular governors in swing states and blue states. With broad bipartisan appeal, those governors — and a few Democratic counterparts — will not only potentially find an easier path to re-election, but could also make strong 2016 presidential prospects. ... But interestingly, some of the more frequently mentioned governor prospects for 2016, at least so far, have more mediocre job approval ratings."  Micah Cohen at FiveThirtyEight.

Rand Paul claims he's running for Senate in 2016, not the presidency.  Here's the likely dilemma at play.  "Kentucky Senator Rand Paul is being talked about as a candidate for President in 2016, but for now he says he’s running for re-election to his Senate seat ... even as he’s widely seen as having interest in a presidential run that year. ... Paul faces something of a dilemma in that Kentucky law forbids him from both running for re-election and running for President on the same ballot and also requires him to make a decision regarding which race to pursue by some time in January 2016."  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.

Turning Texas blue: The instruction manual. "The quest for a blue Texas is going to have to be built on three pillars, only one of which is ongoing demographic change. The other two are matching minority, particularly Hispanic, turnout to white turnout and elevating white support for Democrats. In the latter area, if the Democrats can simply get their support to the 30 percent level — in other words, make the typical landslide among whites for the GOP just a little bit less of a landslide — they will be in a good position to stand on all three pillars and make their dream ... of a blue Texas come true."  Ruy Teixeira at Think Progress.

How is Anthony Wiener's NYC mayoral bid going? Okay, but not great.  "Former Congressman Anthony Weiner’s first week in the race for the Democratic nomination for New York City Mayor has gone very well for him, but he still seems to be far from his goal of winning ...  Weiner ... now draws 19 percent of the vote in the crowded primary field ... Given the fact that there are presently nine declared candidates for the Democratic nomination, it seems inevitable that there is going to be a runoff. ... If these numbers hold up, then it suggests that it will be difficult for the former Congressman to get beyond the final hurdle to his political redemption."  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.


Energy and the Environment


Blocking Keystone isn't a complete solution.  But it's the equivalent of a carbon tax.  And that sounds pretty good to me.  "Blocking the Keystone pipeline will not keep the tar sands oil in the ground. There are other ways to bring the oil to market and the industry will undoubtedly pursue these channels if opponents of the pipeline are successful.  But there is an important point here. These other methods of getting the oil to consumers are more expensive. ... In this way opposition to the pipeline is effectively raising the cost of tar sands oil. That is exactly what we should want to see."  Dean Baker at the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities.

So, Shell moved an oil drilling rig in the middle of a storm to ... avoid taxes.  Figures.  "Shell’s Kulluk oil drilling rig left Dutch Harbor in December to avoid the prospect of millions in taxes, a Shell official revealed Saturday in testimony to a Coast Guard investigation panel.  Questions over the timing of the Kulluk’s departure have been swirling since the Dec. 31 grounding of the rig in a fierce Gulf of Alaska winter storm.  Before Saturday’s testimony ... Shell had maintained that taxes were ... not the driving factor for the move’s timing."  Lisa Demer at Anchorage Daily News.


Filibuster Fights


Obama is throwing down the judicial gauntlet.  "President Obama will soon accelerate his efforts to put a lasting imprint on the country’s judiciary by simultaneously nominating three judges to an important federal court, a move that is certain to unleash fierce Republican opposition and could rekindle a broader partisan struggle over Senate rules. In trying to fill the three vacancies on the 11-member United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit at once, Mr. Obama will be adopting a more aggressive nomination strategy. He will effectively be daring Republicans to find specific ground to filibuster all the nominees."  Michael Shear at the New York Times.

It's about time.  "Obama has made a strong opening move here. Senate Republicans have enjoyed so much success bottling up his nomination not only because they have seized unprecedented new powers, but also because Obama has done so little to challenge them until now. The Senate Republicans have in a sense filled a power vacuum caused by Obama’s inattention. They may well hold on to that power, but now, it seems, they’ll have to fight for it."  Jonathan Chait at New York Magazine.

Court-stacking?  Try 'normal.'  "It appears that President Obama will finally nominate judges for the three remaining vacancies on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. Republicans are objecting, with Mitch McConnell saying that 'The whole purpose here is to stack the court.' Obama’s response should be: Damn right! The Democrats won the presidential election and have a solid majority in the Senate; of course they are going to 'stack' the courts with their nominees. That’s exactly how the system is designed to work."  Jonathan Bernstein at the Washington Post.

Meanwhile, Rob Portman is attempting to solve the Cordray problem.  "Sen. Rob Portman has been conferring with Richard Cordray, head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, as part of an effort to clear the way for his Senate confirmation and avert a Democratic threat to use the 'nuclear option' to curb filibusters.  A senior GOP aide said Tuesday that the Ohio Republican had talks with Cordray in recent weeks and had brought together some Democratic and Republican senators to seek common ground on changes within the CFPB that could address GOP concerns about the independent financial regulatory agency."  Alan Ota at Roll Call.


GOP


The problem with Republican reformers.  "The big problem with today’s Republican Party ... the whole package—the intolerance, the proud stupidity, the paranoia, the resentments, the rage. These are intertwined with policy of course... But they are the party’s real problem. And where these 'reformers' fail is that they never, ever, ever ... criticize it with any punch at all.  ... And these people never call out the crazies. ... The bottom line is that if they don’t say anything about all this, then they’re simply not reforming the Republican Party in any sense that is worth taking remotely seriously."  Michael Tomasky at the Daily Beast.

The GOP is locked into its right turn.  "When Democrats note that the Republican Party has been radicalized to such an extent that many of its own iconic figures would be driven from the party by contemporary GOP standards, it's accurate but expected. When Bob Dole makes the same argument, the political world should take note. ... Dole is giving his party good advice, which it feels compelled to ignore. Sure, Republican lawmakers could listen to Dole, accept legislative compromises, and work with people with whom they disagree, but they know that such actions would only lead to primary challenges, conservative condemnations, and short careers."  Steve Benen at Maddowblog.

They're also screwing their own interest groups over.  "There’s a real risk that even Republican-aligned interest groups will be harmed by the party’s seeming unwillingness or inability to pursue policy compromises ... Complaints ... come from small businesses and insurance companies — groups ... at least loosely aligned with the GOP. But the GOP is unwilling to alter the law, even in ways that would make it more friendly to their interests.  And it’s not just the Affordable Care Act. The exact same story is happening with sequestration. ... Perhaps the big question is whether at some point some of these groups are going to be so frustrated by the post-policy GOP that they’ll flip sides."  Jonathan Bernstein at the Plum Line.

Boehner, the lame duck/speaker.  "House Speaker John Boehner, who by title and position should be the second most powerful person in Washington, sure doesn’t seem or sound like it.  He has little ability to work his will with fellow House Republicans. He has quit for good his solo efforts to craft a grand bargain on taxes and spending. And he hasn’t bothered to initiate a substantive conversation with President Barack Obama in this calendar year."  Jim Vandehei and Mike Allen at Politico.


Guns


The end of the NRA? "The reason for the gap between perception and reality is that, for many years, the NRA has had no real opposition. ... That serious opponent has finally emerged. In 2006, Bloomberg formed Mayors Against Illegal Guns with 14 of his counterparts. ... What Bloomberg has embarked upon now is nothing less than the construction of a mirror image to the NRA. There is plenty of latent public support for gun control, his logic goes, but politicians only see a risk in voting for it. He wants to reverse that calculation." Alec MacGillis at the New Republic.

Bloomberg's problem - lots of Dems are angry that he could risk the Senate majority on guns.  "Senate Democrats up and down the caucus, from West Virginia’s Joe Manchin to Majority leader Harry Reid of Nevada, have been trying to warn Bloomberg off his strategy of running ads that attack vulnerable Democrats over gun control votes. And it’s not because they disagree with what Bloomberg is after—a new law to require background checks for guns bought online or at gun shows. Rather, they think keeping the Senate in Democratic hands in 2014 is more important than any single Senator’s vote on guns."  Michael Scherer at Time.

You can run...  "Republican Sens. Dean Heller (Nev.), Kelly Ayotte (N.H.), and Jeff Flake (Ariz.), ... have something important in common. They were each among the 45 senators who killed a bipartisan bill on expanded background checks, but these are the only three of those 45 who seem eager to pretend they didn't kill the proposal. ... The point here isn't just to criticize poor policy judgment, though that certainly matters. Rather, the point is that these three -- and only these three -- feel compelled to mislead their constituents in a coordinated way, cynically hoping that public ignorance will allow them to get away with their vote."  Steve Benen at Maddowblog.


Health


Hey, states that are refusing to expand Medicaid - you must feel great about screwing over your most economically disadvantaged residents.  "The refusal by about half the states to expand Medicaid will leave millions of poor people ineligible for government-subsidized health insurance under President Obama’s health care law ... New high-quality affordable insurance options ... will be unavailable to some of the neediest people in states like Texas, Florida, Kansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Georgia, which are refusing to expand Medicaid.  More than half of all people without health insurance live in states that are not planning to expand Medicaid."  Robert Pear in the New York Times.

And, at least criticize the right president.  "On Monday, several news outlets highlighted comments that Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) made to the Iowa Republican Party earlier this month in which he mocked an Obamacare provision for being burdensome and silly. Paul ridiculed the health law for forcing doctors to use 122,000 new medical diagnostic codes for describing Americans’ injuries to the government, including for 'injuries sustained from a turtle' and 'walking into a lamppost.'  The new codes do, admittedly, exist. There’s just one problem with Paul’s claims — they were adopted by the George W. Bush administration, long before Obamacare was even being debated."  Sy Mukherjee at Think Progress.

In a rare moment, I'm pleased with Arizona Governor Jan Brewer.  "In an unexpected twist, it seems no governor is more enthusiastic about Medicaid expansion than Arizona's Jan Brewer.  Gov. Jan Brewer sent five bills to the scrap heap ... in a pointed gesture intended to prod lawmakers into a deal on ... her plan to expand Medicaid. ... Brewer ... is playing hardball, telling the state legislature -- where there are Republican majorities in both chambers -- that she'll veto literally every bill that passes until lawmakers get Medicaid expansion done.  GOP lawmakers apparently thought she was bluffing, and approved unrelated measures. As promised, Brewer vetoed the bills and reiterated her threat."  Steve Benen at Maddowblog.

CNN - screwing up information once again.  "According to a recent poll, 59 percent of Americans support Obamacare, while 35 percent oppose it. Among supporters, 43 percent support the law as is, while 16 percent think it doesn't go far enough.  The way CNN words the question in this poll, they almost have no choice but to say that 54 percent of the public opposes Obamacare. But that's wildly misleading. If you oppose Obamacare solely because you think it should be more generous, then you're not part of the group that's commonly thought of as the opposition." Kevin Drum at Mother Jones.


Immigration


The Gang of Eight is winning in the Senate.  "For hard-line foes of immigration reform, the lopsided outcome produced a moment of clarity about the challenges they face in repeating their 2007 feat of scuttling comprehensive immigration legislation.  Unlike six years ago, the loudest voices of dissent were drowned out by a disciplined performance from a bipartisan group of eight senators who teamed up to fight off the most serious threats to the bill. ... Senate supporters of immigration reform think they emerged from the judiciary panel’s hearings in a strong position, adopting key amendments to help mitigate criticisms. "  David Nakamura in the Washington Post.

The House is another matter, entirely.  "There’s still the very real possibility that reform will die in the House of Representatives. There, the numbers are not in their favor. House Republicans have long voiced their opposition to a comprehensive bill. ... The mere fact that some unauthorized immigrants could receive citizenship at some point in the future is enough to inspire opposition. And among House Republicans, this opposition is fairly broad-based ... Tea Party Republicans have a tight grip on the direction of the chamber.  If House Republicans can be convinced of the need for a path to citizenship, then there’s hope for the bill. Otherwise, prospects are dire."  Greg Sargent at the Plum Line.


Maryland


Explosion near Baltimore caused by a derailed train. "Authorities are attributing the explosion on a derailed freight train near Baltimore to the chemical cargo in one of the cars. ... Sodium chlorate in a car that derailed Tuesday in Rosedale exploded. ... The explosion ignited another chemical, terephthlaic acid, from a second derailed car.  Sodium chlorate is used mainly as a bleaching agent in paper production. Oklahoma State University chemist Nick Materer says it could make for potentially explosive mixture when combined with an incompatible material such as spilled fuel."  John Gonzalez and Tom Roussey at ABC.


The President


What the recent 'war on terror' speech can tell us about the president.  "This last bit ... is a window on the Obama conundrum.  He’s an anti-ideological leader in an ideological age, a middle-of-the-road liberal skeptical of the demands placed on a movement leader, a politician often disdainful of the tasks that politics asks him to perform. He wants to invite the nation to reason together with him when nearly half the country thinks his premises and theirs are utterly at odds. Doing so is unlikely to get any easier. But being Barack Obama, he’ll keep trying."  EJ Dionne in the Washington Post.


SCOTUSwatch


It's the calm before the storm, but things could be a lot worse.  "There has been a remarkable outbreak of harmony at the Supreme Court. Of the seven decisions issued in the last two weeks, six were unanimous. There have been no dissents in more than 60 percent of the 46 cases decided so far this term. ... The harmony will dissipate in the final weeks of the term ... The marquee decisions of the term — on affirmative action, voting rights and same-sex marriage — will almost certainly be closely divided on the core issues. But the overall percentage of unanimous decisions is unlikely to drop to 40 percent, the average rate for full terms in recent years."  Adam Liptak in the New York Times.


The States


10 interesting facts about state politics.  Seth Masket at Pacific Standard Magazine.


Texas


Oh come on.  This is a sick joke. "The Texas Legislature has approved a bill allowing students with proper licenses to keep guns in their cars on college campuses. ... Under current law, universities can post a sign prohibiting guns like any private property owner. But the approved measure overrides that." AP.


Trayvon Martin


An update from the Zimmerman trial.  "A Florida judge ruled Tuesday that George Zimmerman’s defense team cannot mention Trayvon Martin’s suspension from school, prior marijuana use, text messages or past fighting during opening statements at next month’s trial.  ...  Capping a slew of rulings on pre-trial motions, Nelson rejected a defense request for a trial delay and ruled that jury selection will begin June 10."  Tracy Connor, James Novograd, and Tom Winter at NBC.


Voting Rights


It probably won't go anywhere, but the mere existence of this constitutional amendment is exciting.  "A pair of Democratic congressmen is pushing an amendment that would place an affirmative right to vote in the U.S. Constitution. ... 'Most people believe that there already is something in the Constitution that gives people the right to vote, but unfortunately … there is no affirmative right to vote in the Constitution.' ... The brief amendment would stipulate that 'every citizen of the United States, who is of legal voting age, shall have the fundamental right to vote in any public election held in the jurisdiction in which the citizen resides.'"  Hunter Walker at Talking Points Memo

It's also necessary.  "Enshrining the right to vote in the Constitution would ... not make every limitation unconstitutional—it is the essential nature of voting, for instance, that there be a date certain by which votes must be cast in order to be counted—but it would ensure that these limitations are judged under the standard known as 'strict scrutiny,' meaning that governments would have to show that the restrictions were carefully designed to address a compelling interest of the state. ... Many familiar aspects of our current voting system would not meet this standard and access to the ballot could be extended to millions who are now actively or effectively disenfranchised."  Jonathan Soros and Mark Schmitt in Democracy.

Ohio is backing off a bill intended to curb student voting.  "Ohio Senate Republicans appear to have given the heave-ho to the plan to curb student voting. The measure ... would have required colleges that vouch for students living on campus to give those students the lower in-state tuition, even if the students don't qualify for that.   The bill would have cost Ohio colleges and universities as much as $370 million a year. Along the way, Ohio Republicans figured out that their bill to discourage the college vote might have led to more college voting, as students figured out they could get much cheaper tuition for the price of exercising their constitutional rights."  Laura Conaway at Maddowblog.


War on Terror


We're beginning to wind down the global war on terror.  But don't forget about the domestic front.  "Even with welcome changes, the decade-plus of 'U.S. wars,' as well as culture wars, have fed a narrative that inspires alienated immigrants and bigots to self-radicalize right here on U.S. soil. Former CIA Director Michael Hayden calls this the 'new normal' ... To manage the risk better: 1.) intervene in the grey area between radical beliefs and violent behaviors; 2.) install redundant layers of security at both hard and soft critical targets; 3.) instill trust with communities where alienation is likely; and 4.) integrate a whole-of-government approach that embodies U.S. values."  Jane Harman at Foreign Policy.



International


Africa


This might just be the most hilarious terrorism story ever.  Until you realize how dangerous the terrorist is.  "After years ... the leaders of al-Qaida's North African branch sent one final letter to their most difficult employee. In page after scathing page, they described how he didn't answer his phone when they called, failed to turn in his expense reports, ignored meetings and refused ... to carry out orders.  Most of all, they claimed he had failed to carry out a single spectacular operation, despite the resources at his disposal... International terrorist Moktar Belmoktar ... quit and formed his own competing group. And within months, he carried out two lethal operations that killed 101 people."  Rukmini Callamachi at the Associated Press.

Sudan and South Sudan aren't exactly getting along.  "South Sudan has criticized Sudan's President Omar al-Bashir for threatening to shut down the pipeline that carries South Sudan's oil to international markets.  Bashir had issued what he said was a last warning to South Sudan to stop supporting rebels in Sudan's states of South Kordofan, Blue Nile and Darfur or he would shut the oil pipeline 'forever.'"  AP.


Asia


I get the thought behind the idea, but the PR around 'binders full of women' is god awful.  "As governor of Massachusetts, Mitt Romney famously leafed through 'binders full of women' who were qualified to join his cabinet. As prime minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe has a massive database. Or at least that's the plan. ... Abe's government is planning to launch a database of female candidates who are qualified to become corporate executives ... The database proposal, in fact, is just Abe's latest effort to make gender parity in the workforce a central pillar of his economic-growth strategy, known as 'Abenomics.'"  Uri Friedman at Foreign Policy.


Middle East


Obama asks the Pentagon for a Syria no-fly zone plan.  "The White House has asked the Pentagon to draw up plans for a no-fly zone inside Syria that would be enforced by the U.S. and other countries such as France and Great Britain, two administration officials told The Daily Beast. ... President Obama’s dual-track strategy of continuing to pursue a political solution to the two-year-old uprising in Syria while also preparing for more direct U.S. military involvement includes authorizing the Joint Chiefs of Staff for the first time to plan for multilateral military actions inside Syria, the two officials said. They added that no decisions on actually using force have yet been made."  Josh Rogin at the Daily Beast.

In defense of coercive diplomacy - Iran edition.  "Coercive diplomacy succeeds when threats are believed and the game-playing and manipulation stop. Offering a credible endgame proposal could convince the Iranians that time is truly running out — and that we are setting the stage for the use of force if diplomacy fails. We should give Iran a clear diplomatic way out — and Iranians should understand the consequences if they don’t take it."  Dennis Ross and David Makovsky in the Washington Post.

The war in Syria is win-or-die for Hezbollah. "Hezbollah is betting its prestige and security on the effort to crush a Syrian rebellion that is detested by Hezbollah’s Shiite Muslim base, but popular with the group’s Lebanese rivals and with much of the Sunni majority in the wider Arab world.  Hezbollah’s biggest stake in the conflict is the same as that of its ally, Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad: survival. The group relies on Syria to provide a conduit for arms from its main patron, Iran. Preserving that flow is a matter of life or death for Hezbollah, as its leaders have made clear."  Anne Barnard in the New York Times.

And Russia's planned arms delivery might draw Israel back into the conflict.  "Russia said on Tuesday that it would supply one of its most advanced anti-aircraft missiles to the Syrian government hours after the EU ended its arms embargo on the country's rebels ... Israel quickly issued a thinly veiled warning that it would bomb the Russian S-300s if they were deployed in Syria as such a move would bring the advanced guided missiles within range of civilian and military planes in Israeli air space."  Julian Borger and Dan Roberts in the Guardian.  

US drone strike in Pakistan kills the Taliban's #2.  "A U.S. drone strike killed the number two of the Pakistani Taliban in the North Waziristan region on Wednesday, three security officials said, in what would be a major blow in the fight against militancy."  Jibran Ahmad at Reuters.


North America


Who is Rob Ford? "By now many of you have probably heard of the rather incredible story of Rob Ford, the mayor of Toronto, having a relaxed and rather intimate conversation — and even allegedly appearing to be smoking crack cocaine — with a couple of drug dealers. ... Who is this guy?" Herman Rosenfeld at Salon.



Military


Apparently Chinese hackers have managed to get details on a bunch of classified weapons systems.  Sounds bad.  "Designs for many of the nation’s most sensitive advanced weapons systems have been compromised by Chinese hackers, according to a report prepared for the Pentagon and to officials from government and the defense industry.  Among more than two dozen major weapons systems whose designs were breached were programs critical to U.S. missile defenses and combat aircraft and ships, according to a previously undisclosed section of a confidential report prepared for Pentagon leaders by the Defense Science Board."  Ellen Nakashima in the Washington Post.

But the DOD doesn't seem worried.  "The Pentagon is denying that any real damage resulted from hackers accessing the designs for more than 24 major U.S. weapons systems. ... Perhaps Little's message is simply a display of false confidence, or perhaps the U.S. has made enough changes to programs accessed by hackers that it's not worried, or maybe it simply fed them the wrong information."  John Reed at Killer Apps.



Science


Cicadas need to swarm in huge numbers - it's their only method of survival.  "Literally every insectivorous animal in the northeast--songbirds, carnivorous birds (hawks, owls), opossums, foxes, cats, shrews, snakes, spiders, and even dogs--will gorge on cicadas. Billions of them will be eaten during the one summer when this brood--Brood II--emerges from the ground. Billions. This is a strategy called predator satiation. It's contrary to the survival strategies of almost every other animal: it intends for a huge percentage of its population to be eaten. It doesn't care. The idea is to overwhelm predators with numbers, since the predators can only eat so many."  Dan Nosowitz at Popular Science.

Plants regrown after 400 years.  "After four centuries in nature's freezer, ancient plants uncovered by the rapid retreat of Canadian glaciers have been regenerated by scientists. ... Seven specimens, representing four distinct taxa, were ground up and sprinkled on to petri dishes full of potting mix, where they started to grow. ... Mosses, one of three bryophyte lineages, are particularly well adapted to extreme environments because of their tolerance for both freezing and desiccation.  Brophytes are able to revive themselves after periods of drought or being frozen because they have totipotent cells -- meaning that any viable cell can regress to an initial germination state."  Rachel Sullivan at ABC.

Symbiotic relationships are cool.  "The swimming ant ... which lives exclusively on the fanged pitcher plant ... in Borneo, provides the plant with extra nutrients, at least in part by capturing and consuming parasitic mosquito and fly larvae that leach nutrients from the pitcher while developing inside it. Scientists once thought that the ant ... was a parasite. But researchers over the last several years have suggested the ant could be doing the plant many small favors. ... The ants and their plant homes are indeed engaged in a mutually beneficial relationship."  Kate Yandell at the Scientist.



Miscellaneous


For those of you that still remember the ThreatDown, Colbert warned us.  "It was a wild day in Randolph where a family of bears kept residents locked inside of their homes and authorities on their toes.  'We looked in the tree over there and we saw one bear getting hosed down by the firemen and on the little branch over there, there were two baby bears,' ... The bears spent several hours in the neighborhood as they were chased from tree to tree. ... The bears were safely tranquilized and taken back to their natural habitat."  CBS.

A cat repeatedly saying 'Al Gore.'  Video.



Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Weekend + Monday: 5/25/13 - 5/27/13


Middle East


Syria


John McCain snuck over the Syrian border to meet with rebels. "Sen. John McCain Monday became the highest-ranking U.S. official to enter Syria since the bloody civil war there began ... McCain ... made the unannounced visit across the Turkey-Syria border with Gen. Salem Idris, the leader of the Supreme Military Council of the Free Syrian Army. ... Inside those meetings, rebel leaders called on the United States to step up its support to the Syrian armed opposition and provide them with heavy weapons, a no-fly zone, and airstrikes on the Syrian regime and the forces of Hezbollah, which is increasingly active in Syria." Josh Rogin at the Daily Beast.

Hezbollah is going all-in for Assad. "The leader of the powerful Lebanese militant group Hezbollah decisively committed his followers ... to an all-out battle in Syria to defeat the rebellion against President Bashar al-Assad. He said the organization, founded to defend Lebanon and fight Israel, was entering 'a completely new phase,' sending troops abroad to protect its interests. ... The speech signaled a significant escalation in Hezbollah’s military involvement in Syria, deeply enmeshing the group in the war across the border." Anne Barnard in the New York Times.

Unsurprisingly, that move didn't go unpunished. "Two rockets crashed into southern Beirut suburbs controlled by the militant Shiite group Hezbollah on Sunday, wounding four people. The attack, the first on the group’s Beirut stronghold since the hostilities in Syria broke out two years ago, raised anxieties here that the fighting next door was beginning to revive Lebanon’s own sectarian conflicts. But it was unclear who launched the rockets ... No one was killed and no group immediately claimed responsibility." Anne Barnard in the New York Times.

The EU is lifting its arms embargo against Syrian rebels.  "European Union nations agreed Monday to end an arms embargo against Syrian rebels, Britain's Foreign Secretary William Hague said."  Ashley Fantz and Salma Abdelaziz at CNN.


Iran


Why Iranian elections matter. "If ... Ahmadinejad’s antics have taught us nothing else, they have demonstrated over and over again that Iran’s presidency matters. ... The office of the presidency has emerged as one with real power to shape the context for domestic and foreign policy. The post exerts considerable authority over the Iranian budget, the framework for internal political activities, the social and cultural atmosphere, and even the most sensitive aspects of Iran’s security policies. ... The election ... will have enormous sway over the future course of the Islamic Republic." Suzanne Maloney at Brookings.


Yemen


Yemen: The landmine country. And not in a metaphorical sense. Actual landmines. "In the midst of the Arab Spring uprising that gripped the country in 2011, members of Yemen's 63rd and 81st Republican Guard units laid approximately 8,000 fresh landmines ... an act that clearly violates the international Anti-Personnel Mine Ban Treaty to which Yemen is a signatory. At the time, Ahmed Ali Saleh, son of the country's yet-to-be ousted President Ali Abdullah Saleh, was the head of all Republican Guard units. ... Yemen's government could garner the dubious accolade of being the first state signatory of the Mine Ban Treaty caught laying anti-personnel mines." Joe Sheffer at Foreign Policy.


Iraq


New wave of car bombings in Baghdad.  "A wave of car bombings tore through mostly Shiite Muslim neighborhoods of the Baghdad area starting Monday afternoon, leaving at least 66 dead...  The blasts are the latest indication that Iraq’s security is rapidly deteriorating as sectarian tensions exacerbated by months of Sunni-led anti-government protests and the war in neighboring Syria are on the rise.  Iraq has been hit by a wave of bloodshed that has killed more than 350 people in the past two weeks alone.  There was no immediate claim of responsibility for Monday’s bloodshed, but the attacks bore the hallmarks of al-Qaida’s Iraqi arm."  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.




Politics


Arizona


Sheriff Joe Arpaio violated rights of Latino suspects, federal judge finds. "Aripaio has been at the forefront of cracking down on illegal immigrants even before it became a national issue. For years now, his department has been sending patrols into Latino areas of his county in search of people here illegally ... These very immigration tactics ... brought Apraio to the attention of the Justice Department. ... Yesterday, after a trial, a Federal Judge ruled that Arpaio and his department had violated the rights of Latinos in the manner in which they ran their immigration enforcement raids."  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.



The Economy


Income inequality is real - and really bad. "The top 1 percent of households by income captured 121 percent of all income gains between 2009 and 2011... according to new research by Emmanuel Saez, an economics professor at the University of California at Berkeley. ... How was the top 1 percent able to capture more than all of the recovery's income gains? They became 11.2 percent richer while the bottom 99 percent got 0.4 percent poorer, when accounting for inflation, according to Saez."  Bonnie Kavoussi at the Huffington Post.

The US is the only wealthy country without guaranteed paid vacation and holidays.  "The United States is the only advanced economy in the world that does not guarantee its workers paid vacation. European countries establish legal rights to at least 20 days of paid vacation per year ... Australia and New Zealand both require employers to grant at least 20 vacation days per year; Canada and Japan mandate at least 10 paid days off. The gap between paid time off in the United States and the rest of the world is even larger if we include legally mandated paid holidays, where the United States offers none, but most of the rest of the world’s rich countries offer at least six paid holidays per year."  Ezra Klein at Wonkblog.

Japanese ownership of Sprint probably isn't a security risk.  "There’s good reason for concern about foreign companies controlling U.S. telecommunications infrastructure. If malicious equipment were installed in U.S. networks, it could allow hostile powers to intercept or disrupt American communications—a serious threat to national security. ... But Softbank seems to be in a different category. Japan is a liberal democracy and a U.S. ally. Its government is not known for launching attacks on U.S. networks. And while critics claim that Softbank is tied to the Chinese government, they haven’t produced very much evidence for that claim."  Timothy Lee at Wonkblog.


Education


Startling stat.  "Here’s an indication of how burdensome student loans have become: About one-third of millennials say they would have been better off working, instead of going to college and paying tuition."  Halah Touryalai at Forbes.


Elections


On the origins of the 17th amendment.  "Support for direct elections was, at least in part, a result of the rise of ideologically coherent, national political parties. ... Federalism was not invoked against the Seventeenth Amendment because state legislative appointment was frustrating ... the ability of state majorities to choose state policies. Modern advocates of repealing the Seventeenth Amendment ... claim the mantle of federalism, but they have the case almost entirely backwards. Repealing the Seventeenth Amendment would reduce the benefits of federalism, as it would turn state legislatures into electoral colleges for U.S. Senators."  John Sides at the Monkey Cage.

Despite the wave of scandals, the Republicans are the ones creating election year problems for themselves.  "Legislative unease has become about what Republicans haven’t done, rather than what Democrats have done. ... The tables have turned. Two of the most glaring legislative failures this year have ostensibly been the work of obstinate Republicans: the failure to avoid the sequester and the failure to pass expanded gun background checks legislation. ... Most Americans still disapprove of the sequester’s automatic spending cuts, and according to a Pew Research Center poll released Thursday, 81 percent of Americans still favor the passage of a bill expanding background checks."  Charles Blow at the New York Times.

The 'bloviating ignoramus' is back.  "Donald Trump has spent more than $1 million on electoral research for a potential presidential run in 2016. ... Trump considered a run for the White House last year against Obama, but ultimately didn’t enter the race, instead making his attention-grabbing $5 million offer to the president to turn over his birth records. ... I’m sure we’ll see the same ridiculous game we saw in 2011 when he was allegedly flirting with the idea of running, and the same nervous reactions from Republicans afraid that he might actually do it."  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.


The Environment


How used cars will partially undermine fuel economy laws.  "Back in August, the Obama administration announced strict new fuel economy standards ... By 2025, automakers in the United States will need to sell passenger vehicles that get, on average, 54.5 miles per gallon.*  But those rules only apply to new cars. There will still be millions of used cars out on the roads. And, as it turns out, the fuel regulations may have an unintended effect on that used-car market. A new study suggests that older, gas-guzzling vehicles will likely stay on the roads even longer — and reduce the effectiveness of the fuel rules by 13 percent to 23 percent."  Brad Plumer at Wonkblog.

*And even that figure is an optimistic estimate.  "All the new cars and light trucks sold in 2025 won’t actually average 54.5 miles per gallon. They’ll almost certainly get far less than that. That’s because the tests used to measure official fuel economy standards—which basically involve running cars on a giant treadmill—don’t always do a great job of replicating real-world conditions. The Union of Concerned Scientists ... noting that the actual fuel economy for new U.S. vehicles in 2025 will probably be around 35.4 miles per gallon."  Brad Plumer at Wonkblog.

If we can't act on the science of climate change, how about the market signal?  Still a 'no'?  "Those who doubt the scientific consensus ... presumably ought to find the opinion of market actors, who are putting their money where their mouth is ... more probative?  The answer ... tells us something ... Too many climate skeptics are unwilling to acknowledge evidence of any sort--even the truth-corroborating price signal of self-interested market behavior!--that lends credence to the scientific underpinnings of those who are making the case for effective collective action to avoid the myriad welfare-threatening upshots of a warming earth. So this evidence doesn't register on them either."  Dan Kahan at the Cultural Cognition Project.


Farm Bill


The farm bill is pretty bad.  "Members of Congress have ... set an impressively consistent trend: they mix good ideas and bad ideas and combine them to create the absolutely worst possible policies. Elements of the farm bill, as it stands, will cut food stamps to the poor and the previously incarcerated, thus increasing poverty and possibly crime; add to the growing obesity crisis by encouraging chemical sugar substitutes; push genetically modified food at the expense of public health with the so-called 'Monsanto Protection Act'; and support factory farming at the expense of sustainable food production with abusive crop subsidies."  Heidi Moore in the Guardian.

The debate over food stamps ... is dumb.  "The prevailing debate in the Senate and House versions of the farm bill, which contains funding for food stamps ... is over how much to cut. But when more than 15% of Americans remain impoverished, slashing food assistance for the poor makes no sense in humanitarian, economic or public health terms. ... Government and other studies clearly show that food stamps are among the most wisely spent public dollars, providing essential nourishment and public health benefits to low-income people as well as economic stimulus to rural and urban communities." Christopher Cook in the LA Times.


Filibuster Fights


The GOP doesn't oppose Richard Cordray.  They oppose the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.  "Reid is looking to take dramatic action to get Richard Cordray confirmed as head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). ... He’s likely to push for a major battle over the filibuster ... once immigration reform is finished ... Although the massive increase in the use of the filibuster in recent years is a general problem ... Senate Republicans are explicitly blocking Cordray ...  The GOP has been quite frank ... their problem isn’t with Cordray ... They just don’t want anybody in the office with the CFPB structured the way it currently is under Dodd-Frank."  Mike Konczal at Wonkblog.


GOP


Bob Dole on the modern GOP and the sharp turn to the right.  "Former Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole (R-KS) told Fox News Sunday this week that the Senate Republicans are abusing the filibuster and that he doubts he, Richard Nixon, or Ronald Reagan could make it in today’s Republican Party.  Asked his thoughts on the modern GOP, Dole — a former Republican national chairman, the 1976 GOP vice presidential pick, and the 1996 Republican presidential nominee — suggested ... that the party lacks any positive ideas and is no longer a place for even conservative Republicans like himself."  Josh Israel at Think Progress.

Health


Found a problem with the ACA?  Too bad...  "Almost no law as sprawling and consequential as the Affordable Care Act has passed without ... significant structural changes or routine tweaks known as 'technical corrections' ... But ... in a polarized Congress, accomplishing them has become all but impossible.  Republicans simply want to see the entire law go away and will not take part in adjusting it. Democrats are petrified of reopening a politically charged law that threatens to derail careers as the Republicans once again seize on it before an election year.  As a result, a landmark law that almost everyone agrees has flaws is likely to take effect unchanged."  Jonathan Weisman and Robert Pear in the New York Times.

Emergency room workers spend an awful lot of time on Facebook. "The emergency department would seem, at first glance, to be one of the more bustling spaces in medicine. With multiple patients in critical condition, it seems like it would be hard for doctors and other health providers to find a spare minute.  Except it’s apparently not that hard at all: A new study ... finds that for every hour emergency department workers use a computer, they spend an average of 12 minutes on Facebook — and that time on the site actually goes up as the department becomes busier."  Sarah Kliff at Wonkblog.



Immigration


Immigration reform in the House.  "It may be the case that a fair number of Republican members want a bill to pass — but without their votes. They may believe that the bill is good for Republicans in general but not in their districts; they may even believe that their own long-term prospects are better with an immigration bill in place but that their short-term prospects could be endangered if they support it."  Jonathan Bernstein at the Plum Line.


The Internet


In defense of online anonymity.  "This is the reason to protect anonymity online: because the Internet is an incredible tool for accessing information, and sometimes that access is contingent on anonymity. Removing anonymity... might dissuade cyber bullies, but it would also certainly prevent the countless vibrant discussion around careers, relationships, personal health, and other legitimately sensitive topics. ... Anonymity is one of the Internet’s most important features. There will be more cyber bullying in the future—anonymous and not—and we should have ways of stopping it. But ripping away the veil used for legitimate purposes by so many people is not the answer."  Chris Albon at the Daily Dot.


IRS


Wrong procedures at the IRS, for sure, but they may have had the right idea.  "Representatives of these organizations have cried foul in recent weeks about their treatment by the I.R.S., saying they were among dozens of conservative groups unfairly targeted by the agency, harassed with inappropriate questionnaires and put off for months or years as the agency delayed decisions on their applications.  But a close examination of these groups and others reveals an array of election activities that tax experts and former I.R.S. officials said would provide a legitimate basis for flagging them for closer review."  Nicholas Confessore and Michael Luo at the New York Times.

Not all Tea Party groups under investigation were innocent.  "The more information that comes out ... the harder it is to say employees there erred completely in putting more scrutiny on particular groups seeking tax-exempt status. ... Several of the tea party groups targeted by the IRS were engaged in overt political activity. One group ... sponsored get-out-the-vote training 'dedicated to ‘the defeat of President Barack Obama.’' Another ... had given donations to a Republican candidate for the House of Representatives. ... This is exactly the kind of activity that the IRS is supposed to question when it’s deciding on tax-exempt status for “social welfare” organizations."  Jamelle Bouie at the Plum Line.



SCOTUSwatch


Big news is coming.  "What the Supreme Court decides by the end of June could fundamentally change ... a range of politically explosive issues. ... – Same-sex marriage: A pair of appeals testing whether gays and lesbian couples have a ... constitutional right to wed. – Affirmative action: May race continue to be used as a factor in college admissions, to achieve classroom diversity? – Voting rights: The future of the Voting Rights Act, and ... federal oversight of elections in states with a past history of discrimination. – Gene patents: Can 'products of nature' like isolated parts of the human genome be held as the exclusive intellectual property of ... companies, through government-issued patents?"  Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway.


War on Terror


Republicans in Congress aren't quite on board with President Obama's plan to end the war on terror.  "Efforts to alter the global fight against Islamist militants will face the usual hurdle at home: staunch opposition from Republicans in Congress. ... Conservative opponents said they would try to block the closure of Guantanamo and rejected Obama's call to repeal the Authorization for Use of Military Force, passed in September 2001 and the legal basis for much of the 'war on terror.'"  Patricia Zengerle and Matt Spetalnick at Reuters.

And they aren't the only barrier.  "There are a multitude of hurdles to Mr. Obama’s goal of taking America off “perpetual war footing.”  One of the most daunting is a sprawling wartime bureaucracy that ... has amassed great influence and has powerful supporters on Capitol Hill. Nor can Mr. Obama escape his own role in putting the United States on a war footing. ... Of all these threats, Mr. Rhodes said the White House was most worried about a surge of extremism in the wake of the Arab Spring."  Mark Landler and Mark Mazzetti in the New York Times.



International


Africa


Ugandan politics just went into overdrive.  "A wanted Ugandan general who questioned the president's succession plan has requested the protection of British police and won't return home anytime soon ... Sejusa, a spy chief who sits on Uganda's military high command, believes his life is in danger and is now 'very cautious.'  Sejusa, who directs Uganda's domestic and foreign spy agencies, recently wrote a letter to the internal security service urging an investigation into reports that those opposed to the rise of Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni's son risk assassination."  Rodney Muhumuza at AP.

Ummmm, excuse me?  "The African Union (AU) has accused the International Criminal Court (ICC) of 'hunting' Africans because of their race.  It was opposed to the ICC trying Kenya's President Uhuru Kenyatta on charges of crimes against humanity, said Ethiopia's Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn. The AU would raise its concerns with the UN, he added.  Mr Kenyatta, who was elected in March, is due to be tried in July.  He denies the charges, which arise from accusations that he fuelled violence after disputed elections in 2007."  BBC.


Asia


This can't end well.  "The local authorities in the western state of Rakhine in Myanmar have imposed a two-child limit for Muslim Rohingya families, a policy that does not apply to Buddhists in the area and comes amid accusations of ethnic cleansing during earlier sectarian violence. Officials said Saturday that the new measure would be applied to two Rakhine townships that border Bangladesh and that have the highest Muslim populations in the state.  The unusual order makes Myanmar perhaps the only country in the world to impose such a restriction on a religious group, and it is likely to fuel further criticism that Muslims are being discriminated against in the Buddhist-majority country."  AP.


Europe


FFS...  "Iceland is to resume commercial whaling next month, killing up to 184 endangered fin whales over the coming summer partly to supply a burgeoning Japanese market in luxury dog snacks."  Jonathan Leake in the Sunday Times.



South America


I don't even...  "The mayor of Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes, punched a constituent in the face after being called the Portuguese equivalent of 'excrement' in a dispute before stunned diners at a Japanese restaurant."  Simon Romero at the New York Times.



Economics


Reinhart and Rogoff are, surprise, still wrong.  "There is, however, an enormous difference between the statement 'countries with debt over 90 percent of GDP tend to have slower growth than countries with debt below 90 percent of GDP' and the statement 'growth drops off sharply when debt exceeds 90 percent of GDP'. The former statement is true; the latter isn’t. Yet R&R have repeatedly blurred that distinction, and have continued to do so in recent writings."  Paul Krugman at the New York Times.  



Military


Base naming: The Confederate criticism.  "In the complex ... process of reconciliation after the Civil War, honoring the dead ... has played a crucial role. Some of these gestures ... served to whitewash the actions of the rebels. The most egregious example ... the naming of United States Army bases after Confederate generals.  Today there are at least 10 ... Changing the names of these bases would not mean that we can’t still respect the service of those Confederate leaders ... What it would mean is that we’re upholding our own convictions. Surely we can find ... 10 soldiers whose exemplary service not only upheld our most important values, but was actually performed in the defense of the United States."  Jamie Malanowski in the New York Times.




Science


Explaining missing childhood memories.  "Scientists ... have long wondered why we don’t remember anything that happened before age 3. ... Now a new study shows that 'infantile amnesia' may be due to the rapid growth of nerve cells in the hippocampus, the brain region responsible for filing new experiences into long-term memory. ... As the hippocampus matures, huge numbers of new neurons come on line and need to be hooked into existing circuits, he says. The most likely scenario is that in all that restructuring, the brain 'forgets' where it stored the memories."  Linda Carroll at NBC.

13 unlucky inventors who were killed by their own inventions.  Vincze Miklos at i09.



Miscellaneous


Why the Big Bang Theory is the best thing ever.  "Here was a popular prime-time sitcom in which five of the seven main characters were Ph.D.’s and another had 'only' a master’s from M.I.T., a hit show that regularly referenced bosons and derivatives and string theory, a show in which there were running gags about Madame Curie and Schrödinger’s cat.  The real behind-the-scenes heroes, though, are not the science advisers but the geek experts. The accuracy of the nerd oeuvre — the obsession with superheroes, 'Star Trek' and 'Star Wars' ... comic books and video games..."  Rob Hoerburger in the New York Times.

What was behind the ban on Soviet citizens traveling to the Dakotas in the 1950s?  "Soviet citizens ... were required to have a detailed itinerary approved before obtaining a visa ... Why prohibit travel to all of western North Dakota and most of South Dakota? ... The area is home to several Native American reservations ... At the time, the Soviets were countering criticism of their human rights records by proclaiming their support for African Americans and Native Americans. ... There were plenty of hyped up fears that the Soviets would exploit and facilitate Native American resistance to the termination policy and foment anti-government agitation."  Jon Western at the Duck of Minerva.

What was in President Lincoln's pockets the night he was shot?  "The night Abraham Lincoln was shot, he was carrying: a pocket knife, a watch fob, an Irish linen handkerchief, a brown leather wallet, a crisp new Confederate five-dollar bill, two pairs of gold-rimmed spectacles (one held together with string), and eight newspaper clippings, some of which echoed remarks from one of his campaign speeches – that a country divided against itself cannot stand."  Elizabeth Flock at US News.

Friday: 5/24/13

Politics


Democrats


Why Democrats are optimistic about cooperating with Republicans.  "The hope among Dems is that this episode has driven home to some GOP lawmakers that they really do face a stark choice between completely giving up on basic governing and finally finding a way to work with the president; that this choice isn’t going away; and that the former option is not tenable over the long term. Along these lines, the fact that other GOP senators are joining McCain in balking at the Tea Party bloc has given Dems a bit of optimism that at a certain point, there is a sizable contingent of Republican lawmakers out there that knows that its current posture can’t hold forever."  Greg Sargent at the Plum Line.

Jerry Brown's political reboot.  "California has once more led the way for the nation ... That California’s broken government is still functioning is largely because Jerry Brown has spent his life studying its machinery. ... Brown had the advantage of having already been through eight budget cycles. From his years as mayor, he knew the budget tricks ... From the many campaigns he had won, and lost, he had learned the difference between fights that were tough but winnable, like the push to pass Proposition 30, and those that mean certain defeat, like challenging California’s direct-democracy system."  James Fallows at the Atlantic.


Elections


Things are getting dirty in Massachusetts.  "The Republican nominee for Senate in Massachusetts called his opponent, longterm Congressman Ed Markey, 'dirty and low' and 'pond scum' during an interview ... Gomez was being asked by a reporter about his new ad 'Something New' which alleges Ed Markey compared Gomez to terrorist Osama Bin Laden and blamed him for the Newtown shooting. Gomez’s ad has been criticized by fact checkers from the Boston Globe and FactCheck.org."  Andrew Kaczynski at Buzzfeed.


Financial Regulation


Financial lobbyists are a little too involved in writing legislation for my taste.  "Bank lobbyists are not leaving it to lawmakers to draft legislation that softens financial regulations. Instead, the lobbyists are helping to write it themselves.  One bill that sailed through the House Financial Services Committee this month — over the objections of the Treasury Department — was essentially Citigroup’s, ... The bill would exempt broad swathes of trades from new regulation. ... Two crucial paragraphs, prepared by Citigroup in conjunction with other Wall Street banks, were copied nearly word for word. (Lawmakers changed two words to make them plural.)"  Eric Lipton and Ben Protess at the New York Times.


Fiscal Fights


The GOP budget wars continue.  "Senate Republicans are warring over the budget, creating rifts between the old and new guards, the mainstream and the tea party and Sens. John McCain and Ted Cruz. ... With Cruz as the ringleader, a handful of Senate conservatives are refusing to consent to budget negotiations with the House, instead engaging in open combat with more senior Republicans like McCain who are perplexed at their hardball tactics."  Manu Raju and Ginger Gibson at Politico.



GOP


What's behind the wave of conservative wonks abandoning the Republican party?  The retreat from policymaking.  "Over the last few years, the Republican Party has been retreating from policy ground they once held and salting the earth after them. This has coincided with, and perhaps even been driven by, the Democratic Party pushing into policy positions they once rejected as overly conservative. The result is that the range of policies you can hold and still be a Republican is much narrower than it was in, say, 2005. That’s left a lot of once-Republican wonks without an obvious political home."  Ezra Klein at Wonkblog.

John McCain vs. the GOP.  "McCain is displaying increasing signs of agitation with the ideological currents driving his party. His journey from orthodox Republican to the left edge of his party and back may have one more reversal yet. ... McCain’s disagreement over what appears to be a technical point of Senate process is actually a fundamental split over the party’s approach toward Obama. The conservatives want to continue their stance of total opposition and instigating crises — the stance that has defined the party throughout the Obama era — while McCain wants to engage in compromise and negotiation."  Jonathan Chait at New York Magazine.

Bachmann is back.  "Bachmann has made a sweeping claim: the 'most personal, sensitive, intimate, private health-care information is in the hands of the IRS' under the health-care law. There is no evidence to support this assertion, and she is simply scaring people when she repeats it on television.  Bachmann thus continues her record-breaking streak of outlandish claims."  Glenn Kessler at the Washington Post.


Guns


Still plenty of public support for gun safety reforms.  "81% of Americans support broader background checks on firearm purchases ... What's more, ... 81% of self-identified Republicans support background checks for private gun sales, too."  Steve Benen at Maddowblog.


Health


Check out the ACA working successfully in California.  "Predictions of an Obamacare apocalypse seem a little less credible today, thanks to California.  Officials ... offered the first detailed glimpse of what consumers buying health benefits on their own can expect to pay next year. ... These consumers will be getting a pretty good deal. ... The majority of Californians buying coverage on the state's new insurance exchange will be paying less ... than they would pay for equivalent coverage today. ... All of these consumers will have access to the kind of comprehensive benefits that are frequently unavailable today, at any price, because of the way insurers try to avoid the old and the sick."  Jonathan Cohn at the New Republic.  

Train wreck? Certainly not.  "Fundamentally Affordable Care Act implementation is going to work out great, and people are going to love it.  The latest evidence comes to us today from California ... Their exchanges are getting set up, and it looks like premiums for 'silver' and 'bronze' plans are both going to be lower than was previously expected. Far from a 'train wreck,' ... the biggest single set of clients for the program is getting something like a nice, smooth high-speed train ride. ... The Affordable Care Act's goal of slowing the growth in aggregate health expenditures is also coming true."  Matthew Yglesias at Slate.

This carries political implications for the GOP.  "The preliminary numbers for CA are in ... with costs coming in below expectations. ... Think about the political dynamics. Because the Supreme Court decided to let states opt out of the Medicaid expansion, some states — notably Texas — will have a pretty dysfunctional version of Obamacare in 2014 ... The whole political calculus was supposed to be that Republicans in red states could point to the horrors of Obamacare and ride them to political victory. Instead, it looks as if we’re going to see blue-state residents reaping the benefits of a functional health care system, while red-state residents are denied many of those benefits."  Paul Krugman at the New York Times.

Are American doctors overpaid?  "Standard economic theory suggests that ... American doctors are overpaid ... At existing incomes there is still considerable excess demand for places in medical schools among bright American youngsters – not to mention a huge pool of highly qualified foreign applicants. This suggests that the lamented doctor shortage in the United States is the result of an artificially constrained supply of medical school places and residency slots, which serves to inflate physician incomes above what they would be in a better functioning market without supply constraints."  Uwe Reinhardt at Economix.


Immigration


Immigration reform could take several paths, but not all lead to success.  "Even if the bill passes the Senate, it has a long way to go before it might hit President Obama’s desk. The reform bill the Senate took up in 2006 passed with 62 votes, only to go nowhere in the House. So, how is the Gang of Eight deal going to pass? And what could sink it? Here are two plausible routes to success and three ways the bill could fall short."  Dylan Matthews at Wonkblog.

Healthcare fights are still holding up an agreement in the House.  "For the second time in two weeks, House lawmakers in both parties emerged from a closed negotiation with a tentative agreement to rewrite the nation’s immigration laws.  But now they have to put those ideas into text, when that accord could all fall apart. ... The House’s bipartisan group has struggled to wrap up its legislation, mostly because the two parties trying to figure out how to ensure that undocumented immigrants don’t take advantage of government health care subsidies."  Jake Sherman and Seung Kim at Politico.


LGBT Rights


The ENDA has stalled until July.  "LGBT advocates ... will have to wait until after the Fourth of July holiday to see any action on another top priority: a bill to ban workplace discrimination against LGBT people. ... 'I think we’re going to do ENDA probably after the Fourth of July break,' Sen. Tom Harkin, the chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee that is considering the Employment Non-Discrimination Act, told BuzzFeed this week.  Supporters had hoped to see the bill move out of the committee by June at the latest."  Chris Geldner at Buzzfeed.


Scandals


Is the GOP's popularity problem why the scandals don't seem to be sticking?  "Americans may not be ecstatic about President Obama and his policies, but compared with the Republicans, they think Obama doesn’t look so bad. This might partly explain why, even with all of the controversies engulfing the Obama administration these days, the president doesn’t appear to be hurt at all, at least as measured by job-approval ratings."  Charlie Cook in the National Journal.


SCOTUSwatch


Will the appointments case make it onto next year's docket?  "A Washington State business joined the Obama administration on Thursday in urging the Supreme Court to clarify when presidents can constitutionally fill government vacancies when the Senate is taking a recess, but asked the Court to rule in a way that would definitely scuttle the specific appointments that are at issue in the case. ... Last month, the administration and the National Labor Relations Board challenged in the Court a ruling in January by the D.C. Circuit that struck down President Obama’s 2012 appointments to the Board. That filing argued that the decision 'would dramatically curtail' the president’s appointments power."  Lyle Denniston at SCOTUSblog.


Tax Reform


The case for getting rid of corporate taxes.  "The best way to reform corporate taxation isn't to cut the rate but abolish it.  A wide consensus of economists and tax experts finds it to be bad policy. Nobody... thought that corporate taxes were a smart or efficient way for governments to raise revenue. Economic theory provides no strong argument for special taxation of corporate income, at whatever rate."  Evan Soltas at Bloomberg.


War on Terror


Obama's six point plan to end the War on Terror.  Timothy Lee at Wonkblog.

South Carolina might host the next set of trials for Guantanamo detainees.  "President Obama ... announced initial steps his administration will take in a renewed effort to close the Guantanamo Bay prison ... And a senior administration official told the Wall Street Journal that a leading candidate for military commissions — which are currently being held at Guantanamo — is the Naval Brig at Charleston, S.C."  Think Progress.

The DOD now has lead responsibility for the drone program.  "The White House has quietly shifted lead responsibility for its controversial armed drone program from the CIA to the Defense Department ... At issue is a months-long debate about whether the CIA should remain the lead organization for planning and conducting aerial strikes on al-Qaida targets from remotely piloted aircraft.  The Obama administration appears to have settled that debate, opting to hand the military control of most drone strikes while returning the CIA to its core missions of collecting and analyzing intelligence."  John Bennett at Defense News.



International


Global


Where the world's atheists live.  "There’s surprisingly little data available on the subject. But a 2012 poll by WIN/Gallup International ... asked more than 50,000 people in 40 countries whether they considered themselves 'religious,' 'not religious' or 'convinced atheist.' Overall, the poll concluded that roughly 13 percent of global respondents identified as atheists, more than double the percentage in the U.S.  The highest reported share of self-described atheists is in China: an astounding 47 percent."  Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey at the Washington Post.


Asia


China has drones.  Now what?  "Drones, able to dispatch death remotely, without human eyes on their targets or a pilot’s life at stake, make people uncomfortable ... An even more alarming prospect is that unmanned aircraft will be acquired and deployed by authoritarian regimes ... Those worried about exactly that tend to point their fingers at China. ... Indeed, the time to fret about when China and other authoritarian countries will acquire drones is over: they have them. The question now is when and how they will use them. But as with its other, less exotic military capabilities, Beijing has cleared only a technological hurdle -- and its behavior will continue to be constrained by politics."  Andrew Erickson and Austin Strange in Foreign Affairs.

Meanwhile, China's been pressuring North Korea to get back to nuclear negotiations.  "The Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, bluntly told a North Korean envoy ... that his country should return to diplomatic talks intended to rid it of its nuclear weapons."  Jane Perlez in the New York Times.

And China's gender gap is becoming more entrenched.  "Mao declared his commitment to gender equality ... But the state-imposed equal employment of women and men failed to transform underlying gender relations. ... China fired tens of millions of workers at state-owned enterprises in the 1990s ... Women were fired disproportionately over men. ... Women were rehired later at much lower rates than men who were fired. ... Around the same time, a 'Women Return to the Home' movement emerged, calling on women to quit their jobs to make way for men in a time of rising unemployment. Over the years, these attitudes have taken hold: There has been a resurgence of belief in traditional gender roles."  Leta Fincher in the New York Times.


Europe


Germany is the most popular country in the world.  "Germany is the most positively viewed nation in the world in this year's annual Country Ratings Poll for the BBC World Service.  More than 26,000 people were surveyed internationally for the poll.  They were asked to rate 16 countries and the European Union on whether their influence in the world was 'mainly positive' or 'mainly negative'.  Germany came out top, with 59% rating it positively."  BBC.



Science


12 technologies that will drive our economic future.  "The single biggest takeaway from the study is this: The things that will have the greatest impact on the economy in the medium term aren’t the ones that seem to most excite the imagination and public interest. Instead, the potentially powerful innovations are mostly those that have been evolving for many years in new ways." Neil Irwin at Wonkblog.

Reflections on language and thought.  "The answer to the question of whether thought is possible without language depends on what you mean by thought. Can you experience sensations, impressions, feelings without language? Yes, and very few would argue otherwise. But there is a difference between being able to experience, say, pain or light, and possessing the concepts "pain" and "light." Most would say true thought entails having the concepts."  Arika Okrent at Mental Floss.

Cockroaches are outsmarting us all. "In the ongoing battle between humans and cockroaches, the insects have a leg up. A new study finds that roaches evolved their taste buds to make sweet insecticide baits taste bitter. As a result, the roaches avoid the baits and thrive, to the frustration of homeowners everywhere."  Stephanie Pappas at LiveScience.



Miscellaneous


31 charts that will restore your faith in humanity.  Rob Wile at Business Insider.

Same charts, different spin: 31 charts that will 'destroy' your faith in humanity.  Brad Plumer at Wonkblog.

11 terrifying images of old Soviet playgrounds.  Ransom Riggs at Mental Floss.